Iceman
Rookie
- Nov 4, 2013
- 2,227
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- Banned
- #401
Republicans don't need the Hispanic vote, this is a myth. If they focused on supporting policies in the interests of their white middle/working class base(ie. immigration reduction/moratorium, ending free trade, opposing bailouts, non-interventionist foreign policy, real tax cuts etc) they could win multiple elections going into the future. Even if demographics shift towards a larger non-white population with amnesty granted, Republicans can win with just 65% of the White vote, no increase in non-white vote needed through 2024. It would take far more of a shift in the Hispanic vote to guarantee republican victory than shift in the white vote for Republican Victory. Of course Republicans are interested in winning elections or representing their constituents, so they will continue to lose.
I can't post a link yet, but look up the survey done by Nate Silver the New York Times forecasting demographic trends and corresponding electoral results to confirm my information.
Getting 65% of the White Vote is a statistical impossibility.
Bush got 54% of the White vote in 2000
Bush got 58% of the White vote in 2004
McCain got 55% of the white vote in 2008
Romney got 59% of the White vote in 2012.
The reason why Bush won in 2004. (He didn't in 2000, sorry. that was stolen) was because he was smart enough to do outreach. He got 11% of the black vote and 44% of the Latino vote.
Keep in mind, next time, the Democrats are likely to nominate a white person. That means that anti-Obama racism that animated Romney's campaign like a zombie won't be there next time.
If the GOP wants to win, it has to stop with the racial bullshit and reach out to minorities.
Period.
For the next presidential election of 2016, Republicans would have to lock up 74% of the Latino vote to win the election. It is far more realistic they win 5 more percent of the white vote considering the disenfranchisement of the white working class by Democrats.
I am not a Republican, but if they want to win elections, they should focus on supporting right wing populist policies to increase their share of the white vote, and doing whatever they can to preserve the white majority(aka their constituents). This would be the smart move. However, the money that controls the Republican party and most of the politicians in the party wants cheap labor. The Democrats want to votes, so together, the powers that be of both parties want mass third world immigration to continue into the US.