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...America’s banks are reasonably healthy. They have significantly bolstered capital since 2008 and now boast core capital of 9% of assets, well above regulatory requirements
EFSF gets downgraded. The end is near!
Draghi, gettin' street cred with da Germans!
Printing presses are now running full time to keep the EU a-float until they get a working united governmental budget structure with teeth in place. This will likely take them 2 years. There will be an awful lot of printing going on until then. The Euro-zone will now become a successive string of bailouts. It started with EFSF then global coordination of central bankers & next the ESM. The Euro-zone economies will weaken in-spite of the devalued Euro. Negative GDP for some EU countries.
Let's put aside the above concerns for a minute. When all is said and done, I am still amazed that the outcome of this summit is being described as a move toward fiscal union. It is not that - it is commitment to unified fiscal austerity, nothing more. Consider just a strict enforcement of the 3% deficit ceiling in light of actual deficits in the EU. Via NPR:
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Just on the surface, it is tough to see any commitment to fiscal austerity as credible. Germany itself exceeded the targets in 7 out of the past 11 years. Talk about the pot calling the kettle black. France missed 6 in the past 11 years. And Italy 8 times. Thus, in addition to the periphery nations, the biggest economies in the Eurozone will all need to increase government saving to meet these targets.
Such saving will be attempted in the context of a recession in which the private sector also will be increasing savings as well. In other words, the public sector will be engaging in massive pro-cyclical fiscal policy as the recession intensifies. You have to imagine the end result is a substantial deflationary environment.