ScienceRocks
Democrat all the way!
- Mar 16, 2010
- 59,455
- 6,797
...in 2014, 2016?
2010 was a costly loss for democrats. Congressional approval has dramatically changed since then however. Republican approval ratings are at a historic low for either party. Let's face it.
As popular as an idea is for a third party, the chances of one actually rising to power that appeals to both the right and the left is slim to none. I think at the very least, democrats are a shoe in for 2014. Republicans probably have enough time to turn their party around for 2016. It's still a solid possibility that we could have a republican president in '16.
I think Gerrymandering is going to save the Republicans in the House in 2014.
In the Senate, the problem is that there are almost no GOP seats in play in 2014. So even if the Democrats run the table and retain all the seats they have at risk, including 4 vacancies, the best they can hope for it to pick up too seats.
Unless the TEA Party gets crazy and primaries guys who otherwise had easy walks to re-election like they did with Lugar.
Now, for 2016, demagraphic shifts might put some of those gerrymandered districts in play. And in the Senate, all those Teabaggers that came in during 2010 are going to be up again. So MAYBE we'll see some shifts.
But the key thing will be the presidency. If the economy is better than it is now, Hillary will easily walk. If it isn't, she might have a hard time.
I really find it hard believing that the REPUBLICANS won't lose seats IF they default. Those seats will go from safe to toss up over night when people lose their ssi and savings.