Could be either side. At this stage it's all about propaganda and bags of money. Bags of money to Russian speaking Ukrainians and bags of money to Ukraine speaking Ukrainians. Mostly bags of money to thugs, but everyone wants to get in on the bags of money now, while there are plenty of bags being handed out.
Slowly, the money for the bags will begin to run out and get scarce for one side or the other and those with long range funds will win out.
The big difference is that the Ukrainians will be willing to forgive and forget. KGB Russia does not forgive and forget. KGB Russia only left the Ukraine about 20 years ago. People still remember how that system works. Ethnic Russians, what are commonly called the "Russian speaking Ukrainians" are terrified of the Moscow Russians, or KGB Russians, coming into power and control. They know the list of "dangerous persons" and "enemies of the glorious state" are already made and in some thugs pocket.
Slowly, the money for the bags will begin to run out and get scarce for one side or the other and those with long range funds will win out.
The big difference is that the Ukrainians will be willing to forgive and forget. KGB Russia does not forgive and forget. KGB Russia only left the Ukraine about 20 years ago. People still remember how that system works. Ethnic Russians, what are commonly called the "Russian speaking Ukrainians" are terrified of the Moscow Russians, or KGB Russians, coming into power and control. They know the list of "dangerous persons" and "enemies of the glorious state" are already made and in some thugs pocket.