where did you show different testing results. Are you talking about the mortality rate only?And yet I showed 2 other testing means that got different results..................SPLAIN THAT.This is not 1349.Death rate is only one metric. The analytics use multiple metrics. Granted, these metrics are not exact and will change as they receive more data, but the standard deviation of current estimates provides enough information to warrnt the actions being taken currently.This thread is about the death Rate..............Mortality Rate they usually like to say.You need to educate yourself. Your simple analysis results in an incorrect conclusion. You need to consider all metrics in epidemic analytics. You are only looking at total deaths. You need to factor the number of individuals in the population that are susceptible to the disease, how contagious and how deadly the virus is.
You are trying to do an analysis using addition and subtraction only. You need to use calculus to obtain a correct conclusion. Not, literally but you hear what I am saying.
I don't believe the rate is that high..............My reasons......the last article a good reason.....the Disease control people were saying that...........and the fact that only 1% of the population were tested from the other site...........
There is NO WAY they Really know how many have had it already...or even have it now......Only those tested are DATA..............so it's a best guess.
That's certainly your opinion. But personally, I see a lot of unwarranted panic out there and a lot of blaming of the President for this pestilence.
If you look back at the news reports back in 1349 when the Black Death became popular, people weren't nearly as frantic, not nearly as political, as they are today. Even though the CV doesn't look like to me to even be reaching the previous levels.
Read the data. It is not n opinion.
This is close to the analysis I summarize but it provides the same conclusions.
Using Kalman Filter to Predict Corona Virus Spread
That is only one method........THEORY.........They didn't match the WHO...........or THE CDC for that matter.