Maybe to you.We've all heard the pseudocon Rube Herd parrot the meme that "tax cuts increase revenues". They get this meme from their propagandists and then repeat it unthinkingly.
First, I want to apologize that I cannot yet post links. I had to remove them. Instead I gave hints on what to search for. Just please note that I did actually source my statements. This forum just doesn't trust me yet as I'm new.
Let's talk about Keynes for a minute. As one will surmise, I speak of Keynesian economics negatively, but not because his economics is abjectly terrible, but because like the term "liberal" today, it has been bastardized into something precisely the opposite of that which it is meant to be.
Keynesian economics is about using an invisible hand to stabilize markets which are already under invisible influence. Most of K's work revolved around speculative trading which could produce wealth without value, thus creating spikes in the natural cycle of economic recessions and progressions. To that end, he proposed the use of financial tools as buffers to help smooth out these anomalous shifts.
His philosophy was built upon the errors of the Great Depression. It was caused by abstract wealth being used to influence value. People bought and sold stocks on margins. It became this huge thing to trade on mathematical whim rather than cold hard cash or material value. Unfortunately, there were consequences to fucking with nature. Gravity eventually caught up with that make believe dream bubble of wealth .
He realized that abstract wealth was dangerous, but unavoidable. Rather than try to eliminate it, he sought to counter it. Since Abstract wealth isn't "capitalistic" he wasn't concerned with countering it capitalistically. He was absolutely pro capitalism though. His economic policies were never meant to be used heavy handed, then again, he never intended for abstract wealth to become the majority of wealth either.
The Keynesian's of today are just socialists. They consider more spending to be more production. This is NOT what Keynesian economics is all about. He was a capitalist.
(look up the definition of Keynesian economics) His entire angle was on that of optimizations, not public control. His aim was to utilize policy to promote (not falsify) free market demand. In other words, he was merely a proponent of tweaking the pure Laissez-faire of the time.
(wikipedia laisses-faire)
I think the reason the left has wet dreams about him is because a) They think he is a socialist just because modern day proponents totally bastardized his theories, and b) because he was gay.
I can totally see b considering the extreme virtue signalling going on today, but a is trickier. I think having so many administrations (Democrat and Republican) use Keynesian ideas as a scapegoat for their carte blanche economic fuckery is why people no longer realize the original intent behind it.
There are two key facts which expose the lie hidden in that meme. First, the obvious fact is that if you lower tax rates all the way to zero, you have zero revenues. So at some point, tax cuts fail to increase revenues.
By that logic, reducing spending to zero would no longer increase debt to begin with. Which is superior as an extreme?
Reducing revenue does not increase debt. Only spending does.
The second fact is one which their propagandists deliberately keep from the rubes. This is a deliberate omission, and therefore a deliberately crafted lie. And that fact is that revenues have also increased after a tax INCREASE.
This whole line of approach is a straw man, but I can hardly doubt you for doing it because the Republicans are so good at setting themselves up for strawman arguments- Trump often as well.
What is wrong about what you say, though, is that you're looking at this from the government perspective only. You have an unstated premise which is that government spending is good and indicates a healthy economy. This is a non sequitur.
Government revenue will only go up from a tax decrease if the aggregate wealth generated goes up disproportionately to the reduction in revenue. Likewise, it will only go up after a tax raise if the reduction in aggregate free market wealth doesn't fall equally so. In either case, it is not an all or nothing phenomena. Different industries are affected in different ways.
What you cannot argue, however, is that wealth is shifting away from the government and back into the hands of the people. Only a tax cut will do that. This is an absolute boon if you are anything but a bureaucrat.
See for yourself. Here is a history of tax rates
Notice how tax rates increased under Bill Clinton in 1993. The top marginal rate increased from 31 percent to 39.6 percent, and stayed that way until 2001.
Now here is a history of federal revenues:
Again, what is the point of this? Are you trying to suggest that government revenue is good? How about they spend money more efficiently? Why is money goin into the government so important, but the money going out inconsequential? Debt is built from spending, not revenue. A government that makes zero dollars and spends zero dollars generates no debt. Spending is entirely the source of debt.
Notice how tax revenues INCREASED after the tax rates went UP a whopping 8.6 points:
FY 1991 - $1.05 trillion.
FY 1992 - $1.09 trillion.
FY 1993 - $1.15 trillion.
FY 1994 - $1.26 trillion.
FY 1995 - $1.35 trillion.
FY 1996 - $1.45 trillion.
FY 1997 - $1.58 trillion.
FY 1998 - $1.72 trillion.
FY 1999 - $1.82 trillion.
FY 2000 - $2.03 trillion
Yeah, and meanwhile the middle class was raped to death for it. The last 40 years has been an economic red wedding for low income and middle income earners.
Just a few years after Clinton's tax increase, federal revenues had DOUBLED!!!
And after the Bush tax cut expired on the top marginal rate in 2013, federal revenues continued to increase:
FY 2012 - $2.45 trillion.
FY 2013 - $2.77 trillion.
FY 2014 - $3.02 trillion.
FY 2015 - $3.25 trillion.
FY 2016 - $3.27 trillion.
FY 2017 - $3.32 trillion.
By the way, job growth exploded during the higher tax Clinton years. 30 million jobs in 8 years, with less than 5 percent unemployment.
So the next time you are crowing about the current tax rate increasing revenues, you should know your propagandists are counting on you not looking beyond the carefully framed numbers they present to your dumb ass.
Jobs are nebulous without context. Clinton created a lot of jobs by expanding on government work force. He did this as a concession to the fact that he cut welfare. Rather than just handing people money, he simply umbrella'd them under the government's wing. So basically he put welfare artists to work instead of being on welfare ( a good first step actually) and raised taxes. Together this gave quite an illusion of rapid financial development, but again, it was Illusory (except for getting people off of welfare).
Let's get one thing straight. Clinton's short term tactics for political points looked good on paper, but they are also directly attributed to the economic recession of 2008 that people like to incorrectly credit Bush for. His democrat congress gave us the toxic loan standards which precipitated the housing crash.
Wiki subprime mortgage crisis.
Clinton wasn't a terrible Head of State in managerial matters, but he knew that he was playing hot potato with the economy on housing. He totally fucked the banks and used Keynesian principles as his scapegoat. Turns out giving free houses away works right up until the loans come due and can't be paid. Then the whole country burns to the ground. Who would have thought?
Obama used the same playbook. His entire presidency was about spending shit tons of cash under the guise of Keynesian policy to make the GDP have the appearance of growth. Where it failed, he simply blamed his predecessor, and where Trump succeeds, he tries to take credit. Really though, if you want to buy into that delayed economy garbage, that means Clinton's economy belongs to Reagan and Bush Jr and any Blunders Bush could accurately be accused of would fall under Clinton. Pick whichever you want, but please, be consistent.
The reason why we can accurately blame Clinton for what happened at the end of Bush's two terms is because we can actually trace back to policy. Timing is a bitch, it turns out. Obama did nothing though that he could take credit for under Trump. His last few years were almost completely ignorant of the economy itself. Neither the media, nor his constituents in congress put any attention on the terrible state of the economy.
By modern day "Keynesian" standards, Bush was the (2nd)best president ever. He spent money like it was going out of style. Only Obama was a better Keynesian (or is it Kenyan? ) than him. Surely to a Keynesian, debt is gold so don't be so quick to throw Bush under the bus. It's also somewhat strange that you would credit Clinton, considering that much of what he did wasn't "Keynesian" in nature. In fact, only his serious financial blunders were so and even then, they are just the modern day bastardization of it.
Because while your pseudocon propagandists are crowing about revenues, they are counting on you not noticing that despite increased revenues, your party and your President are EXPLODING our deficits!
This is such a straw man. Who is it that has so much clout as to speak for all conservatives about the virtues of lower taxes begetting more revenue? Who said conservatives care about government revenue? Many I know are ready for the government to be abolished let alone pissing on about it's revenue. It's spending we all care about because spending is the problem- not revenue. You can double what the government takes in, they'll still find a way to go over budget.
If you're so worried about debt, let's reduce government spending to zero. Something tells me you were totally quiet while Obama doubled our debt in just 8 years.
It's called misdirection. A classic magician's trick to fool the rubes.
No, it's called a straw man. Liberals are very good at creating them.
Trump is on track to blow Obama's debt record wide open. And after whining and whining and whining and whining non-stop for eight years about Obama's spending, your propagandists have gone dark.
And so have you.
The stench of hypocrisy is all over you.
Pot calling the kettle black. I've seen no conservatives who are happy with current spending. I also don't see why you're so upset about it considering you love the idea of more government revenue and more government spending. By your own logic, Trump should be your favorite president if what you say is true!
Trump may be spending a lot, but he's also making sure that the citizens are regaining the wealth that has been robbed from them for 30 + years. He's doing his best to reduce spending, but you either don't know that or you just don't care. It's all about bashing Trump because he's orange or something.
If you want to give Obama credit for Trump's economy, you have to admit it is Obama's government still, and that means it's Obama's spending. Be consistent ffs.
Seriously, you people should drink your own medicine. Hopefully Republicans dominate the midterms. Once the obstructionist democrats have no more power, maybe we can fix this spending issue finally. As it stands, there's a barely visible majority of Republicans, and some of them are just closet democrats anyways. If you care so much about spending, you should be helping us get rid of the democrats so we can actually achieve what you claim to want. Atleast, what I think that you want. I can't tell. You gush over increased government revenue, which is only useful if spent, yet you criticize Trump for spending as much as Obama? Make up your mind!
That's a good post, Jerico. And good form in recognizing modern Keynesians. Followers of Keynes, to be clear. That's something I often fail to acknowledge myself, as it's often just assumed by anyone who has studied economic theory and monetary policy. We shouldn't really blame Maynard himself as much as we should focus more on his modern followers. Or trustees, I should call em.
Thank you. Too often the meaning of things gets changed to suit political ideology. It becomes a disservice to the intent behind the original meaning.
Well we could look up all the historically significant economists, but taking them out of the economy they were subjected and opined on would be taking their doctrines out of context
America was quite the different country economically in Keynes day, for that matter Adam Smith opined from a agricutual stance, and extra credit for anyone who actually translated Friedman or Greenspan
~S~
Succinct and accurate. Whether one would support Keynesian economics in whole, or in part, or as it is modernly prescribed, it is important to realize that all things must be evaluated in their natural context. Such is true for economics of yesterday and today. For example, we can talk all day long about the immorality of slavery, and most if not all of us would agree to its immorality, but there was such a time were the morality of slavery was not so questionable. To judge the past by the morals of the present is folly no matter which way we look at it. The same must be said about Keynes.
That is why, I think, based on the OP's claim, it helps to know what Keynesian economics aimed to fix, and how it was intended to be implemented. It was NOT a broad stroke advocacy for socialism, which at the time, was just as well known for its failures as it is today. Modern "economists" like Paul Krugman, are reasons why Keynesian economics is both so politically charged and completely contrary to its original intent. It is akin to thinking if one requires medicine to get well, then more medicine will help them get well faster. It is a non sequitur. His theories were a treatment to an endemic problem that was fairly new at the time. They were not a solution to the underlying problem, just a treatment.
Economic theories are not all or nothing. They are often specific measures for specific problems to be used at the right time and in the right way. They are techniques to achieve a goal. If those techniques are abused, misrepresented, or not understood, the application of them can deal great damage or have unknown consequences. Economics isn't man made. it's natural, like math. We can devise tricks, methods and techniques to manipulate it, but we cannot violate its fundamental rules. OP and others would do well to understand the models they advocate.